Abstract: In recent years, open source software has become one of the important models for the innovation and development of software industry of China. This paper systematically analyzes the development trend of the global open source model, analyzes the open source supply interruption risk, code security risk, intellectual property risk and independent innovation risk in open source software industry of China, and proposes specific policies and measures to promote open source independence, strengthen model innovation and optimize the development environment, so as to promote the healthy and sustainable development of open source industry of China.

Key words: open source software, development trend, development risk, self-reliance and self-improvement, countermeasure

摘要： 近年来，开源软件已经成为我国软件产业创新发展的重要模式之一。系统分析了全球开源模式的发展趋势，分析了我国开源软件产业存在的开源断供风险、代码安全风险、知识产权风险、自主创新风险，并据此提出了推进开源自主、加强模式创新、优化发展环境的具体政策举措，以促进我国开源产业生态健康可持续发展。

关键词: 开源软件, 发展趋势, 发展风险, 自立自强, 对策建议